Trading Post

 

Welcome to Under The Helmet’s newest weekly feature, Making the Trade, where we break down real dynasty trades submitted on twitter by UTH Nation using #UTHtrades.  If you make a dynasty trade, share it with UTH! #UTHtrades

We had some great dynasty trades come through this week but let’s start with two centered around one of my favorite targets, Davante Adams:

Both of these trades show that Davante Adams’ price is falling significantly now that Randall Cobb has re-signed in Green Bay, and it’s probably to the point where he’s becoming a buy in most leagues. Adams’ path to relevance seems blocked but remember that Jordy Nelson is entering his Age 30 season and should start to decline within the next 1-2 years. Admas’ long-term outlook remains bright. His short-term prospects are also promising. Even as the number three option in GB, Adams has WR2 upside on a week-to-week basis and WR1 upside if either Nelson or Cobb suffers an injury. Post-Cobb signing the Adams owner in your league may be dispirited, so now is a good time to throw out an offer.

Cascading Value

The first post I did for UTH was an example of cascading trades where I packaged up Charles Johnson, made two trades and ended up with Donte Moncrief. I liked that result. I like this one even more:

So that’s 2.09 + Tavon Austin + Rueben Randle = Cody Latimer + two 3rds. That deal gets insta-rejected by 99% of dynasty owners, but @Shaunttell pulled it off with cascading trades.

Save Me Some Leftovers

I like this trade as an example of why to always ask for a little extra in your deals. Those leftovers can turn into a full meal, or in this case, Jordan Cameron.

Last off-season I saw Cameron as overvalued and I moved off him in the two league I owned him– getting the 1.05 + 2.03 in one league and DeAndre Hopkins straight up in another. This off-season I think the value has swung the other way with Cameron now going for about a mid 2nd. Cameron was quietly efficient on a bad offense last season, finishing 3rd among qualifying TEs last year in Yards per Route Run, and Cameron’s situation just got a lot better. According to the RotoViz Fantasy Efficiency App, Charles Clay was given the 12th-most opportunity last year among tight ends, yet was the 4th-worst tight end in the league from an efficiency standpoint. As a much more efficient TE than Clay, Cameron should be able to rehab his value quickly in Miami.

Rookie Fever

We’re getting to the time of year when Rookie Picks start going for outrageous value. And “Rookie Fever” will only increase post NFL draft when dynasty owners fall in love with their target player’s talent AND situation. Here’s our Rookie Fever Trade of the Week:

Pre-draft there’s still some uncertainty even around early firsts. But everyone always loves the 1.01. So @ADonDavenport moves down two spots and turns a future 2nd into a 1st. Love it.

Building Dynasties Takes Thick Skin

Not every trade seems like a clear-cut win. This trade was an example of one of those deals where you’re going to hear it from some of your league-mates:

I would guess that most owners would value the A.J. Green side higher here, but in a total rebuild I like this move. Cooks has WR1 upside and is 5 years younger than Green. For now there’s a production gap but in 2-3 years time that’s probably no longer the case.  In the meantime @BigPerm3313 has added rebuilding pieces in the 1.13 & 3.06 in a deep class plus a future 2nd.

One point that was brought up on twitter is that Green may have fetched more in-season. That’s probably true since Green had a bit of a down season in 2014. Then again the player selected at the 1.13 will probably be harder to come by as well, so it’s probably a wash.

Even in a rebuild this type of move is going to raise some eyebrows, but if you want to build a dynasty you have to be willing to look a year or two down the line and make the right moves for your team.

Join the Conversation

Like these trades? Want to add some analysis? Let me know in the comments or on twitter and make sure to share your trades using #UTHtrades

To Kick-Off Making the Trade’s first week….

Bonus Trades:

Finally, a trade from fellow new UTH writer Justin Huestis. Nice trade Justin!

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