The NFL Draft projection model has been a long-standing project of mine over the years. A few off seasons ago I spent countless hours scouring the internet for all the requisite information dating back to 1999 on running back, wide receiver, and tight end prospects. I built a model which has thoroughly beaten NFL Draft position or any other mainstream data point in terms of finding more value, more production, and more talent in rookie classes ever since.
The first version incorporated various aspects of a player’s production and physical traits. It was a game-changer in my advancement of understanding rookie pick value and handicapping incoming talent odds versus veterans.
Early in the 2015 offseason, the 2.0 version launched as I probed with the question – is all production equal? Adding the element of age to a college player’s career arc was another huge step forward for the model. An 18-year-old doing X is how much more impressive and predictive than at 20 year olds is a key question answered after again adding data points to every prospect in the model.
Now the 3.0 version….
Get the rest of this content plus Rankings, Metrics, and 100s of Premium Podcast Episodes PLUS an Audio App becoming a General Manager subscriber!
As a BONUS, General Managers receive a free week of the ground-breaking UTH Dynasty Trade Calculator. Prepare to dominate your league.
Join Now
