During the 2014 college football season I saw an inordinate amount of Josh Robinson on Saturdays. Not on purpose, but more when I flipped around, there he was. I watched more of him in January and February to do my homework, but the metrics were always stacked against him. Plus, his tape was not good enough for me to ignore the metrics, like is the case with a few other running backs I like late in 2015 drafts.

Back to Josh Robinson, who is now projected to be a mid-to-late Day 3 NFL Draft pick. In that range, there better be something to latch onto and say ‘here is why I should burn a rookie pick, startup pick, roster spot, etc’ on Player X. The odds are stacked against Day 3 picks. Maybe that’s why ESPN will be showing Jameis Winston and Melvin Gordon highlights for half of the programming that day instead of the actual pick announcements.

Josh Robinson has a negative score in each of the three main categories of the projection model: Athleticism, Rushing, and Receiving. I set the filter at -75% or lower in rushing (Robinson’s lowest mark of the three), then merely had the other two categories to collect negative scores. Here is the result:

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